Last start of the Classic? Experience says no.

 Last start of the Classic?  Experience says no.

After reaching the semi-finals of the Champions League, it’s time for the Clásico, so Real Madrid’s Toni Kroos was already looking ahead to next weekend immediately after the penalty shootout drama in Manchester.

“If we don’t lose the game, things look very, very good,” said the strategist. DAZN about the situation of the table before the duel with FC Barcelona, ​​given that it is eight points ahead. “And if we win, maybe we can check a little box,” Kroos said. Then there would be a margin of eleven points, six games before the end.

The third unspoken scenario, a victory for Barça, explains by itself what the Catalans should aspire to after their elimination in the CL quarterfinals. Reduce the lead to five points. Maybe start another streak so as not to end the season without a title. The Copa del Rey has already moved to Bilbao.

The second half of the season as a change of course for the pursuer who has already fallen behind; In theory, that’s the most obvious way. Especially since form rarely plays a big role in these games. But in practice, this plan has never worked in recent years.

Even a 4-0 victory didn’t change anything

When Real Madrid had the opportunity to get within six points of their rivals at the Camp Nou on matchday 26 of the previous season, they lost 2-1 in the end and the title disappeared. On matchday 29 of the 2021/22 season, Xavi and his team celebrated an impressive 4-0 victory at the Bernabéu and reduced the lead to, theoretically, nine points. But Real didn’t let that bother them on their way to the title.

In these situations the Royals didn’t care if they won or lost. In 2018/19 they played better than Barça in the home game on matchday 26 and could have only been six points behind instead of twelve. But the Catalans scored and won in the first season after the departure of Cristiano Ronaldo. In 2015/16, CR7 Real achieved victory on matchday 31 in Barcelona, ​​but the comeback under new coach Zinedine Zidane was not enough to keep them seven points clear. In the end one was missing.

The next constellation was last seen in 2016/17. Barcelona was the pursuer and had to play at the Bernabéu on matchday 33. The Catalans won thanks to a goal from Messi in added time and caught up with the Royals, although with one more game. Real even had a better final run and not only became the first team to defend the Champions League seven years ago. But also champion of Spain.


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